H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Orlando ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has strengthened modestly given that Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has ended up being less certain. Tammy was at first expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system guidance is now suggesting that the storm might drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and exceptionally powerful cyclone that caused enormous destruction and significant loss of life. It is the costliest hurricane to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record previously held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood security system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, in addition to large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have actually now been issued for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests typhoon conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy must spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center stated.
Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a hurricane that might bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has set off typhoon warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a danger to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 hurricane was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is just the third hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to cyclone professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists previously cautioned hurricanes could form in uncommon areas later on in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most serious risks and might lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy